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Showing posts from August, 2019

FX News these days

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US equities weaker, Treasury yields fell amid flight to safety trades.The issues that the world economy can slide into recession amid prolonged trade tensions continue. Chinese media yesterday prompt that Peking may well be limiting the export of rare earths minerals employed in the defence associate energy sector so as to place pressure on the USA solely highlighted that the trade war is probably going to increase any before a deal is reached. Against that background USA GDP numbers and tomorrow’s inflation information can stay focussed with Bloomberg lightness that the “Fed model” suggests that there's still price in USA stocks, however given that the Fed cuts rates. Oil costs additionally captive up from recent lows and therefore the WTI future is mercantilism at USD fifty nine.23 per barrel. In Euorpe, Stock futures also are inform to a stabilisation and a small easing of risk aversion, with European futures moving higher in cycle with USA futures. P o

FX News nowadays

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Risk aversion eventually won the day on weekday, as stocks gave back modest early gains and yields drifted lower from gap highs. Bonds rallied, as stocks were pressured by President Trump’s announcement that North American country are hit by five-hitter tariffs, rising step by step to twenty fifth in an exceedingly bid to curb immigration. The latest step-up within the international trade war, returning when China’s producing PMI fell quite expected and is currently in contraction territory, additional to fears that the globe economy is heading for recession sparking a brand new rally on international bond markets that left the 10-year Treasury rate down -4.5 bp at 2.168%. The WTI future fell back to $55.97 per barrel following the EIA inventory information that showed a 300k United States liquid unit fall in crude stocks. the road had been expecting a one.0 mln United States liquid unit decrease, tho' the API rumored a five.3 mln United States liquid unit draw wh

FX News these days

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Risk aversion continues to prevail as USA Treasuries, JPY , CHF and Gold stay in Bid mode Treasury yields did return off highs and also the 10-year yield protected a pair of.9 bps to 2.100%, once risk aversion and comments from Fed’s Bullard, World Health Organization aforesaid a rate cut could also be “warranted soon”, underpinned rate cut speculation and recent gains in Treasuries yesterday. The RBA cut rates to record lows, of course. The latter helped the ASX to exceed in Asia and move up zero.25%, however elsewhere stock markets were remained struggling throughout the Asian, once the data system closed with a loss of -1.6%yesterday amid commerce within the likes of Facebook and Amazon, speculatively of antimonopoly probes once the USA DoJ and also the Federal Trade Commission united to separate up oversight of school giants.

FX News nowadays

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Asian stock markets rallied following the bounce on Wall Street yesterday that was fuelled by on the face of it conciliatory signals on the trade front and comments from Fed Chairman Powell Fed Chair Powell aforesaid the Fed can “act appropriately” signalling that the financial organisation is hospitable rate cuts if necessary. China’s Services PMI came in a lot of weaker than anticipated at fifty two.7, down from fifty four.5 within the previous month. World Bank cut world growth forecast to merely a pair of.6% from 2.9% citing trade tensions, the weakest since the monetary crisis, citing trade risks. The WTI future meantime is commercialism at simply USD fifty two.94 per barrel. Markets area unit positioning for a awfully pacifistic signal from the ECB tomorrow, amid the multitude of government risks and weak PMI and inflation knowledge in the week. Today’s calendar has Services PMIs for the Eurozone and also the United Kingdom of Great Britain and North

FX News nowadays

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Stock markets struggled throughout the Asian session, with Red China bourses underperforming. Discussions between the United States and United Mexican States over while not a breakthrough last night, that capped risk appetency, and stock markets struggled for direction throughout the Asian session. GER30 futures also as United States futures also are slightly within the red, despite higher than expected German producing information at the beginning of the session. German orders information higher than expected, with producing orders rising zero.3% m/m in April, whereas March information was revised up to zero.8% m/m from zero.6% m/m reported at first. Still, a far better than expected range, though the German producing PMI remains firmly stuck in contraction territory and a true rebound doesn’t appear to be visible . The WTI future remains pressured by EIA inventory information yesterday, however has come back up to currently $51.71 per barrel, once falling to an

FX News these days

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Stock markets listed mixed in Asia, with Chinese markets underperforming, prior to key North American country jobs knowledge these days. Hopes that North American country tariffs is also delayed helped Wall Street to shut higher, however vp Pence same the North American country still plans to impose tariffs on North American country next week prior to any talks these days. China’s financial organization head plumbed relaxed on the Yuan, however stressed that the PBOC still had many policy space if the trade war worsens. CSI and Shanghai Comp still lost -0.9% and -1.2% severally and also the school serious Shenzen Comp fell back quite two as Facebook declared that it'll not preinstall its app on Huawei phones, writing system a lot of hassle for the beleaguered school company. US Stock futures around zero.1% higher and also the WTI future continued to climb up from the lows seen within the wake of EIA knowledge weekday and is currently commerce at $53.28 per bar

FX News nowadays

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Stock markets continued to maneuver higher throughout the Asian session, all over again junction rectifier by China when the US-Mexico deal additionally revived hopes of a US-Sino deal, despite Trump’s comments. President Trump: China deal goes to figure out; however no deal means that additional tariffs.He aforesaid that he's able to impose another spherical of tariffs on Chinese imports if there's no progress in talks with China’s President at the Gregorian calendar month 28-29 G20 summit. The expectations that China can build up input programs to spice up the drooping economy were boosted by news that China can permit government to use takings from special bonds as capital for major investment comes. European stock futures ar|are} moving higher as are United States of America futures. US futures square measure up zero.3-0.4% and therefore the WTI future is commerce at $53.74 per barrel. The yen crosses upraised higher because the Japanese currency l

FX News these days

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Treasury yields have fallen back -1.2 bp to 2.108%, as weaker than expected CPI numbers out of the U.S. yesterday adding to speculation of rate cuts within the North American country. Fed funds futures worth in regarding eightieth probability for rate cut by by finish of July. Asian bond markets were largely supported, though JGBs corrected and therefore the 10-year yield captive up zero.5 bp to -0.118% as a stronger Yen restrained capitalist craving for Japanese assets. Stock markets largely remained fraught in Asia, with the droop Seng declining -0.79% as giant political demonstrations still discomfit investors. In Europe German HICP for might was confirmed at simply one.3% y/y this morning, that beside the decline in market based mostly indicators for inflation expectations also will keep easing speculation alive as stock markets stay weighed down by political science trade jitters. Oil costs continued to say no, with trade jitters continued to weigh down s

FX News nowadays

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Tense political science events within the middle East injected some risk within the market, providing a lift to bonds once reports surfaced nightlong that 2 cargo ship were broken off the coast of Asian nation. Stock markets listed mixed in Asia with Hong Kong and China bourses under-performing. Australian yields marked new record lows amid concern that political science trade tensions can hit world growth and prompt central banks to maximize easing measures. The FTSE one hundred future is posting fragmentary gains as Brexit supporter Boris Johnson emerges because the clear favorite to win the leadership contest within the political party and succeed Teresa might. Investors expect information releases that area unit expected to indicate in progress weakness within the economy.  The WTI future is at USD fifty two.16 per barrel once yesterday’s attacks.

FX News these days

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Market sentiment turned cautious once more prior to the G-20 summit. Bund yields declined from the off, as Treasuries rallied following President Trump’s criticism. President Trump aforesaid it's he United Nations agency is holding up the China trade deal till the country returns to in agreement terms. He conjointly stepped up his criticism of the Fed, language rates area unit “way too high“. He conjointly expressed that the EUR and different currencies debased against the dollar. Stock market sentiment turned cautious once more and Asian markets area unit largely within the red, as area unit European and United States of America futures. This underpinned Treasury yields and saw yields returning down once more. A -1.74% decline within the suspend Seng LED broad losses in Asian stock markets, amid protests within the town and signs of rising funding prices. The WTI future fell back below the $53 per barrel market. The European knowledge calendar is

FX News these days

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Wall Street was managed modest gains, supported by a much better than 1 Chronicles rise in industrials that offset a drop by materials. The markets typically shrugged off a pointy drop by the New York producing index and a weaker than expected NAHB housing market index. Asia securities market gains were capped by caution prior the Fed meeting. Topix and Nikkei lost -0.88% and -0.81% severally because the Yen strong, the suspend Seng continuing to recover and stirred up zero.70% once being pressured by political protests last week. The ASX gained zero.54% once obtaining cut a lift from RBA meeeting minutes signal another rate cut can be current. GER30 and UK100 futures ar mercantilism narrowly mixed. US futures ar slightly within the red. Speculation that the Fed can signal rate cuts is mounting and in Europe ECB officers appear to be preparation additional easing measures, whereas the BoE is wide expected to stay on hold amid in progress Brexit uncertainty

FX News these days

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Stock markets continuing to rally in Asia, underpinned by hopes of any easing and progress on the trade front at the G-20 meeting and European stock futures ar moving higher in bicycle-built-for-two with U.S. futures. The BoJ left policy settings unchanged, however highlighted draw back risks, particularly for overseas economies. Hopes of any financial organisation stimulation and progress on the trade front at the G20 meeting meantime ar keeping stock markets underpinned and Nikkei and Topix stirred up zero.32% and 0.64% severally. The dollar has turned lower once the Fed. FOMC control rates steady for sure, however shifted to associate unambiguously pacifistic gear, noting that “uncertainties regarding this outlook have increased” whereas supplying a bigger than expected downgrade within the dots as Chairman Powell shunned mistreatment “transitory” to explain low inflation, marking a downshift within the inflation read. Some follow-through dollar marketing a

FX News these days

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Expectations that world central banks can add more input to underpin {the world|the worldwide|the world} economy and contemporary hopes that global trade tensions are resolved through talks in spite of everything underpinned stock markets throughout the Asian session. US President Trump tweeted yesterday that he can meet China’s President Xi Jinping at the G-20 meeting, that helped to carry CSI three hundred and Shanghai Comp one.96% and 1.50% severally. Bond markets closed below highs yesterday and therefore the gains square measure probably to erode more these days because the focus shifts to the FOMC announcement. GER30 and UK100 futures square measure slightly within the red with profit taking and revived caution capping the area for more gains. German PPI knowledge at the beginning of the session came in less than anticipated. The WTI future benefited from contemporary trade speak hopes and is commerce marginally on top of the USD fifty four per barrel ma

FX News these days

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Stock markets continuing to rally in Asia, underpinned by hopes of additional easing and progress on the trade front at the G-20 meeting and European stock futures ar moving higher in bicycle-built-for-two with America futures. The BoJ left policy settings unchanged, however highlighted draw back risks, particularly for overseas economies. Hopes of additional financial institution input and progress on the trade front at the G20 meeting meantime ar keeping stock markets underpinned and Nikkei and Topix enraptured up zero.32% and 0.64% severally. The dollar has revolved lower once the Fed. FOMC command rates steady evidently, however shifted to associate unambiguously pacifist gear, noting that “uncertainties concerning this outlook have increased” whereas issue a bigger than expected downgrade within the dots as Chairman Powell evaded victimisation “transitory” to explain low inflation, marking a downshift within the inflation read. Some follow-through dollar

FX News these days

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Expectations that international central banks can add additional stimulation to underpin {the international|the worldwide|the world} economy and contemporary hopes that global trade tensions are going to be resolved through talks in spite of everything underpinned stock markets throughout the Asian session. US President Trump tweeted yesterday that he can meet China’s President Xi Jinping at the G-20 meeting, that helped to carry CSI three hundred and Shanghai Comp one.96% and 1.50% severally. Bond markets closed below highs yesterday and therefore the gains area unit doubtless to erode additional these days because the focus shifts to the FOMC announcement. GER30 and UK100 futures area unit slightly within the red with profit taking and revived caution capping the space for additional gains. German PPI knowledge at the beginning of the session came in less than anticipated. The WTI future benefited from contemporary trade speak hopes and is commercialism marg

FX News these days

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Thursday’s rally on Wall Street didn't boost Asian markets, that struggled because the impact of easing hopes following pacifist comments from Fed, BoJ and ECB light and trade Angst came. US-Iran tensions additionally weighed on sentiment. The ny Times reported that USA President Trump had really approved military strikes when Islamic Republic of Iran shot down a USA military drone, however force back from launching the attacks. The Nikkei fell back -0.8%, though the Shanghai Comp still managed a gain of zero.5% amid lingering hopes of progress on US-Sino trade talks earlier than the leaders meeting at the sidelines of the G-20 meeting next week.

FX News these days

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Stock markets headed south throughout the Asian session. Trade headlines still drive market sentiment and contemporary doubts that there'll be a breakthrough on the trade front at the extremely anticipated meeting between U.S. President Trump and China’s leader Xi Jinping saw investors heading for canopy once more. Trump perennial threats of additional tariffs and with world equities still over five-hitter higher on the month, the danger of disappointment is capping markets for currently. If there area unit a minimum of additional negotiations and central banks stay not off course to feature additional stimulation, it ought to be a constructive begin to the half of the year. Topix and JP225 lost -0.25% and -0.50% severally thus far. US futures area unit mercantilism narrowly mixed, with yank lenders gaining long when saying share buybacks within the wake of annual Fed stress tests. The WTI future is at $59.19 per barrel when seeing a high of $59.54 lon

FX News these days

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FOMC minutes of the Gregorian calendar month meeting were a bit anti-climactic following Fed Chair Powell’s testimony. However, there have been “many” indications that a better policy stance was the additional desired outcome. 10-year Treasury yields born -2.3 bp to 2.039% long, and reopened soft, stopped at a pair of.064% tailing out from the two.057% US stocks rise, yields drop, Powell’s testimony supported rate cut expectations. The S&P five hundred in short flat-topped the 3000 mark for the primary time, however the index didn’t manage to carry these levels as stocks usually came off highs. USD lower as Powell signals July FOMC rate cut. The WTI future is mercantilism at $60.57 per barrel, amid reports that Iranian boats tried to “impede” the passage of a British tanker.

FX News these days

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Treasuries were weaker Wed once a poorly signed 5-year auction, whereas aggressive Fed rate cut expectations continued to be priced out. Also alternative bond markets in Asia, that were besieged as stocks stirred higher. Markets ar promise their hopes on Saturday’s meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping at the side-lines of the G-20 meeting with reports that the U. is willing to carry off additional tariffs for currently serving to to bolster confidence. At an equivalent time, President Trump vulnerable extra China tariffs if there's no agreement. Still, while not a firm and formal agreement in situ risks of set backs stay high, particularly as U.S..-Iran tensions and in Europe no-deal Brexit situations give a risky scene. European stock futures ar moving higher in bicycle-built-for-two with U.S. futures once broad gains in Asia. WTI crude surged to 4-week highs on API knowledge showing massive U.S. inventory drop. USD is commerce mixed these days on

FX News nowadays

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Bonds were supported by in progress trade issues, with the tensions between Japan and Asian nation adding to the lingering issues regarding US-Sino relations. A WSJ report instructed that trade negotiations between the US and China square measure at a “standstill.” This was followed by recent proof of the impact that trade tensions are having, with Japanese trade information revealing a worse-than-expected vi.7% y/y contraction in exports, that have shrank for seven months straight currently. South Korea’s financial organization unexpectedly cut interest rates and aforementioned it's space to act once more. The Fed’s Beige Book still aforementioned economic activity “continued to expand at a modest pace”, however globally central banks square measure clearly getting ready for a marked holdup as trade tensions bite. Concerns a few weak earnings season square measure golf shot pressure on stock markets. The USA100 futures lordotic -0.6% thus far once Netflix

FX News nowadays

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Stronger than expected North American nation retail sales knowledge place some pressure on bond markets. However, Equities turned lower as trade uncertainty returns. After the Chicago Fed President Evans flagged 2 rate cuts this year and North American nation President Trump vulnerable to place another USD 325 bln of tariffs on Chinese product, Stock markets were nervous and risk aversion lingered. US stock futures area unit posting three-quarter gains and Topix and Nikkei area unit presently down -0.05% and -0.27% severally. Released nightlong, a -17.3% decline in Singapore non-oil exports highlighted the damaging impact of worldwide trade tensions. WTI crude dives close to third-dimensional, once Pompeo indicated that Asian country is willing to barter on missiles. Oil costs area unit currently commercialism at USD fifty seven.69 per barrel, on yesterday’s indications that US-Iran tensions may well be easing. Germany’s Von der Leyen confirmed as new EU C

FX News these days

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Treasuries recovered throughout the Asian session when higher than expected information and a weak auction place pressure on bonds yesterday. Bonds across Asia were besieged tho' and JGB yields emotional up two.6 bp to -0.121%, whereas Australia’s 10-year yield jumped twelve.0 bp to 1.450%.The RBA already cut rates to record lows and comments from the financial organisation governor yesterday didn’t sound like the bank was activity more easing at the instant, which. Stock markets were cautious sooner than trade and disposition information out of China these days, that area unit expected to line the tone for gross domestic product numbers out on Mon. With Powell’s testimony out of the approach the main focus is shifting back to the impact of trade tensions and when Singapore reportable the weakest gross domestic product growth variety during a decade investors area unit holding back before taking contemporary positions particularly when a tweet by US President Trum

FX News nowadays

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German 2Q gross domestic product -0.1% vs -0.1% q/q expected. The headline meets expectations and confirms that the German economy shrank in Q2. Treasury yields fell back -2.7 bp to 1.676% nightlong, as weak information out of China revived growth considerations. JGB yields still touched up two.1 bp to -0.277%, as Asian stocks touched higher following gains on Wall Street once news yesterday that the North American nation can delay the new tariffs on Chinese imports till Gregorian calendar month – a minimum of for a few merchandise that ar high on vacation searching lists, once a “productive” decision with China. Meanwhile China same it's protrusive to September trade talks with the North American nation. Weaker than expected industrial production numbers and retail sales out of China intercalary to signs of speed growth and revived fears of a world recession, however CSI three hundred and Shanghai Comp still managed to hold on to gains of zero.7% and therefore the dr

FX News these days

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Yields plunged, causing the bond below the two for the primary time ever, and a replacement very cheap at one.914%. The one0-year born to 1.47% and also the 2-year tested one.46%, before rates edged up slightly. This meant investors were willing to lend the govt cash for 3 decades for fewer than the nightlong rate. USDJPY pivots at 106.15, EUR is all the way down to the 111.00 handle when additional speak from ECB members of QE and rate cuts at the Sept meeting. Cable rallied to one.2150 when sensible Great Britain retail sales figures, yesterday however has slipped back to one.2100. Bank of North American nation cut rates twenty five rate to eight.00%. Policy expectations were mixed, thence weakening the peso slightly. this can be the primary easing in 5 years. Better than expected retail sales and productivity information, and a solid earnings beat from Walmart boosted equities. Wall Street pared its gains and fell into the red because the one0-year yield fell below

FX News these days

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It was another a hundred and eighty for Wall Street as stocks rebounded with broad primarily based gains once Friday’s 2%+ plunge. Trade speak continued to dominate the market narrative. President Trump turned additional positive on the prospect of a trade upsete of|contend with} China and investors in Japan were mitigated by comments that the USA won’t instantly impose tariffs on car imports from Japan. JPN225 gained one.1% and CSI three hundred and Shanghai Comp rose one.8% and 1.6% amid trade talks hopes and as China’s financial institution lowered the Yuan center to a brand new eleven 1/2 year low, however not as low as anticipated. The Hong Kong Chief govt Carrie Lam aforesaid her government is in a position to handle in progress protests while not help from Chinese forces. The WTI future is commercialism at $53.86 per barrel GER30 futures ar troubled for direction, USA futures ar heading south and UK100 futures also are firmly within the red once arr